Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 29 August 2026AI PICK
Mérida ADvs
Deportivo La Coruña II
1 - 0Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.2%
- Market said
- 56.8%
- Edge
- +1.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.76
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.76
The market underrated this by 1.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -9.5
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
Mérida AD (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.60
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 1.76
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Mérida AD Win
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 2.01
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 4.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
18.6%
0-0
21.8%
1-1
13.7%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.