National League - North · 29 August 2026AI PICK
Merthyr Townvs
Chorley
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.0%
- Market said
- 41.8%
- Edge
- +15.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.39
The call, locked before kick-off
MissMerthyr Town Win
Match Winner · best price 2.39
The market underrated this by 15.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Merthyr Town
Chorley
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 1.42
Draw No Bet
Merthyr Town (DNB)
- Edge
- +26.3
- Odds
- 1.96
Match Winner
Merthyr Town Win
- Edge
- +15.2
- Odds
- 2.39
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -11.4
- Odds
- 1.53
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -6.4
- Odds
- 1.66
Correct Score
Score: 2-0
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 7.87
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.7% · actual
2-1
9.9%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.