Merthyr Townvs
Hednesford Town
2 - 0Close
Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 56.5%
- Markets called
- 3 of 5 right, 1 close
- Final score
- 2 - 0
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65
MediumEdge -4.1%
Our model56.5%
The market60.6%
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Edge +7.3%Correct
Our model72.7%
The market65.4%
- Edge
- +7.3
- Odds
- 1.53
Draw No Bet
Merthyr Town (DNB)
Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Close
Our model56.5%
The market60.6%
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.65
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model54.6%
The market63.7%
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 1.57
Match Winner
Merthyr Town Win
Edge +14.4%Correct
Our model52.9%
The market38.5%
- Edge
- +14.4
- Odds
- 2.60
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
Close
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.10
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
2-0
8.0% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.