Premier League badgePremier League · 12 May 2026AI PICK

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv badgeMetalist 1925 KharkivvsKarpaty badgeKarpaty

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.4%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+7.0 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +7.0%
Our model72.4%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 7.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv badge

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Attack52
Defence100
Form67
Karpaty badge

Karpaty

Attack49
Defence89
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.0%Miss
Our model72.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.4%Correct
Our model59.3%
The market46.9%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
2.13

Draw No Bet

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (DNB)

Void
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Win

Miss
Our model41.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.9%
The market9.5%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.9%

1-1

10.1%

0-1

9.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.