Primera División badgePrimera División · 31 May 2026AI PICK

Metropolitanos FC badgeMetropolitanos FCvsCarabobo FC badgeCarabobo FC

1 - 5
Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.3%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+2.6 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +2.6%
Our model66.3%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Metropolitanos FC badge

Metropolitanos FC

Attack44
Defence100
Form71
Carabobo FC badge

Carabobo FC

Attack65
Defence58
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model66.3%
The market63.7%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.9%Correct
Our model58.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Metropolitanos FC (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Metropolitanos FC Win

Edge +2.3%
Our model38.0%
The market35.7%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
2.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.5%
Our model11.5%
The market10.0%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
10.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.5%

1-1

9.9%

1-2

9.3%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.