Primera División badgePrimera División · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Metropolitanos FC badgeMetropolitanos FCvsDeportivo Tachira FC badgeDeportivo Tachira FC

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.8%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+3.1 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +3.1%
Our model64.8%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Metropolitanos FC badge

Metropolitanos FC

Attack48
Defence100
Form67
Deportivo Tachira FC badge

Deportivo Tachira FC

Attack54
Defence59
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model64.8%
The market61.7%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.9%Miss
Our model58.3%
The market52.4%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Metropolitanos FC Win

Edge +19.1%Miss
Our model56.1%
The market37.0%
Edge
+19.1
Odds
2.70

Draw No Bet

Metropolitanos FC (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.2%
The market9.8%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.2% · actual

1-0

10.6%

1-1

10.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.