Primera División badgePrimera División · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Metropolitanos FC badgeMetropolitanos FCvsDeportivo Tachira FC badgeDeportivo Tachira FC

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
53.5%
Edge
+0.3 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.87

LowEdge +0.3%
Our model53.8%
The market53.5%

The market underrated this by 0.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Metropolitanos FC badge

Metropolitanos FC

Attack43
Defence79
Form60
Deportivo Tachira FC badge

Deportivo Tachira FC

Attack68
Defence59
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model72.3%
The market80.6%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.24

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Tachira FC (DNB)

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market59.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.69

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market53.5%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.87

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.2%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market46.5%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
2.15

Match Winner

Deportivo Tachira FC Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market46.9%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
2.13

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.09

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

12.7%

0-2

8.0%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.