Primera División badgePrimera División · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Metropolitanos FC badgeMetropolitanos FCvsEstudiantes de Merida FC badgeEstudiantes de Merida FC

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.9%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+8.8 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +8.8%
Our model62.9%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 8.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Metropolitanos FC badge

Metropolitanos FC

Attack49
Defence77
Form61
Estudiantes de Merida FC badge

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Attack68
Defence48
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.8%Miss
Our model62.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.4%Close
Our model61.7%
The market51.3%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Metropolitanos FC (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Metropolitanos FC Win

Our model38.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-11.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.