Primera División badgePrimera División · 8 May 2026AI PICK

Metropolitanos FC badgeMetropolitanos FCvsEstudiantes de Merida FC badgeEstudiantes de Merida FC

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.2%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+4.6 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +4.6%
Our model60.2%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 4.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Metropolitanos FC badge

Metropolitanos FC

Attack48
Defence89
Form62
Estudiantes de Merida FC badge

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Attack65
Defence46
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.6%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market55.6%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.9%Close
Our model55.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Metropolitanos FC Win

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model50.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Metropolitanos FC (DNB)

Correct
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.5%
The market9.1%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.93

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.5%

1-1

9.7%

1-2

9.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.