World Cup · 6 July 2026AI PICK

MexicovsEngland

2 - 3

Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 63.8%
Market said: 47.5%
Edge: +16.3 pts
Best odds: 2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +16.3%

Our model63.8%

The market47.5%

The market underrated this by 16.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Mexico

Attack67

Defence100

Form89

England

Attack57

Defence100

Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +6.2%

Our model71.6%

The market65.4%

Edge: +6.2
Odds: 1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +16.3%Correct

Our model63.8%

The market47.5%

Edge: +16.3
Odds: 2.05

Draw No Bet

Mexico (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Miss

Our model59.8%

The market57.1%

Edge: +2.7
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.2%Correct

Our model58.2%

The market39.0%

Edge: +19.2
Odds: 2.50

Match Winner

Mexico Win

Edge +8.8%Miss

Our model41.1%

The market32.3%

Edge: +8.8
Odds: 3.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Our model8.8%

The market10.1%

Edge: -1.3
Odds: 9.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.8%

1-1

9.5%

2-2

7.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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