USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Miami FC badgeMiami FCvsLouisville City badgeLouisville City

4 - 3
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.0%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+2.3 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge +2.3%
Our model69.0%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 2.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Miami FC badge

Miami FC

Attack44
Defence53
Form53
Louisville City badge

Louisville City

Attack71
Defence66
Form74

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.17

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model69.0%
The market66.7%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model65.7%
The market61.7%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Miami FC Win

Edge +25.4%Correct
Our model43.6%
The market18.2%
Edge
+25.4
Odds
5.50

Draw No Bet

Miami FC (DNB)

Correct
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model9.0%
The market7.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
12.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

7.3%

0-1

7.0%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.