USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Miami FC badgeMiami FCvsTampa Bay Rowdies badgeTampa Bay Rowdies

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
57.6%
Edge
+3.6 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +3.6%
Our model61.2%
The market57.6%

The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Miami FC badge

Miami FC

Attack57
Defence48
Form49
Tampa Bay Rowdies badge

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Attack60
Defence96
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
-9.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market57.6%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.73

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model58.8%
The market57.8%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Miami FC (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Miami FC Win

Edge +14.2%Miss
Our model39.2%
The market25.0%
Edge
+14.2
Odds
4.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

10.5%

1-2

7.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.