Middelfartvs
Thisted FC
4 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.4%
- Market said
- 56.6%
- Edge
- +0.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.70
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70
The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -15.3
- Odds
- 1.11
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Middelfart (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Middelfart Win
- Edge
- -17.2
- Odds
- 1.50
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 9.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.