Middlesbroughvs
Lincoln
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 43.9%
- Edge
- +9.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 9.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -15.6
- Odds
- 1.10
Draw No Bet
Middlesbrough (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -2.0
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Middlesbrough Win
- Edge
- -25.2
- Odds
- 1.30
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 7.78
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.