Championship badgeChampionship · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Middlesbrough badgeMiddlesbroughvsLincoln badgeLincoln

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
43.9%
Edge
+9.8 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

LowEdge +9.8%
Our model53.7%
The market43.9%

The market underrated this by 9.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model75.3%
The market90.9%
Edge
-15.6
Odds
1.10

Draw No Bet

Middlesbrough (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Correct
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.8%Close
Our model53.7%
The market43.9%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model52.8%
The market54.8%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Middlesbrough Win

Correct
Our model51.7%
The market76.9%
Edge
-25.2
Odds
1.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.2%
The market12.9%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

1-1

12.9%

2-0

10.8%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.