Championship badgeChampionship · 22 April 2026AI PICK

Middlesbrough badgeMiddlesbroughvsSheffield Wednesday badgeSheffield Wednesday

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.1%
Market said
31.3%
Edge
+33.8 pts
Best odds
3.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 3.20

MediumEdge +33.8%
Our model65.1%
The market31.3%

The market underrated this by 33.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Middlesbrough badge

Middlesbrough

Attack57
Defence69
Form51
Sheffield Wednesday badge

Sheffield Wednesday

Attack21
Defence36
Form9

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market92.6%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
1.08

Draw No Bet

Middlesbrough (DNB)

Edge +10.9%Correct
Our model68.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +33.8%Correct
Our model65.1%
The market31.3%
Edge
+33.8
Odds
3.20

Match Winner

Middlesbrough Win

Edge +10.0%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model41.2%
The market44.4%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
2.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.