Championship badgeChampionship · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Middlesbrough badgeMiddlesbroughvsWatford badgeWatford

5 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Middlesbrough Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model55.9%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Middlesbrough badge

Middlesbrough

Attack57
Defence65
Form47
Watford badge

Watford

Attack34
Defence46
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

Middlesbrough (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Middlesbrough Win

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model55.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.6%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market42.9%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
2.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model49.8%
The market58.1%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.