Millwallvs
Wrexham
0 - 3Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 52.7%
- Edge
- +8.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.82
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.82
The market underrated this by 8.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Millwall
Wrexham
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +5.1
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Millwall (DNB)
- Edge
- +13.7
- Odds
- 1.62
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.5
- Odds
- 1.82
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.7
- Odds
- 1.98
Match Winner
Millwall Win
- Edge
- +4.2
- Odds
- 2.11
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 5.44
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
16.0%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.9%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.