UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 16 July 2026AI PICK

Milsami Orhei badgeMilsami OrheivsVelež badgeVelež

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
42.0%
Edge
+13.8 pts
Best odds
2.38

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.38

MediumEdge +13.8%
Our model55.8%
The market42.0%

The market underrated this by 13.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Milsami Orhei badge

Milsami Orhei

Attack33
Defence50
Form44
Velež badge

Velež

Attack56
Defence90
Form72

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +9.7%Correct
Our model74.2%
The market64.5%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
1.55

Draw No Bet

Velež (DNB)

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model57.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.8%Miss
Our model55.8%
The market42.0%
Edge
+13.8
Odds
2.38

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.7%Miss
Our model55.3%
The market47.6%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Velež Win

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model41.8%
The market34.7%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
2.88

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.7%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.7%

1-1

12.9%

0-1

8.9% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.