Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Minas badgeMinasvsAlianza Universidad badgeAlianza Universidad

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
83.0%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+27.4 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

High confidenceEdge +27.4%
Our model83.0%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 27.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Minas badge

Minas

Attack17
Defence94
Form28
Alianza Universidad badge

Alianza Universidad

Attack60
Defence57
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +27.4%Correct
Our model83.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Alianza Universidad (DNB)

Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model36.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
-17.5
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Alianza Universidad Win

Our model31.7%
The market34.7%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
2.88

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model25.7%
The market22.3%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
4.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

25.7% · actual

0-0

18.7%

0-2

14.5%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.