Minasvs
Comerciantes
0 - 0Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.1%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +20.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 20.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Minas
Comerciantes
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +20.5
- Odds
- 1.90
Draw No Bet
Comerciantes (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -10.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Comerciantes Win
- Edge
- -20.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.5
- Odds
- 5.95
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
19.3%
0-2
14.2%
0-0
9.5% · actual
We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.