Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 1 May 2026AI PICK

Mineros de Zacatecas badgeMineros de ZacatecasvsTepatitlán badgeTepatitlán

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.3%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.2%
Our model59.3%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Mineros de Zacatecas badge

Mineros de Zacatecas

Attack41
Defence53
Form47
Tepatitlán badge

Tepatitlán

Attack50
Defence100
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model59.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Mineros de Zacatecas Win

Edge +4.3%Miss
Our model54.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model52.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Mineros de Zacatecas (DNB)

Void
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.