Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Mineros de Zacatecas badgeMineros de ZacatecasvsTlaxcala badgeTlaxcala

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
51.6%
Edge
+2.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

LowEdge +2.2%
Our model53.8%
The market51.6%

The market underrated this by 2.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Mineros de Zacatecas badge

Mineros de Zacatecas

Attack51
Defence19
Form7
Tlaxcala badge

Tlaxcala

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market87.7%
Edge
-12.9
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market51.6%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Mineros de Zacatecas (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.1%
The market54.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Mineros de Zacatecas Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market59.9%
Edge
-16.3
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.7%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7%

1-1

12.2%

2-0

8.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.