Serie A badgeSerie A · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Mirassol badgeMirassolvsChapecoense-sc badgeChapecoense-sc

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +8.2%
Our model62.3%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Mirassol badge

Mirassol

Attack35
Defence55
Form33
Chapecoense-sc badge

Chapecoense-sc

Attack28
Defence43
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model62.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Mirassol (DNB)

Void
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Mirassol Win

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model53.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market51.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.95

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model20.2%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
5.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.2%

0-0

16.4%

0-1

14.7%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.