Serie A badgeSerie A · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Mirassol badgeMirassolvsCorinthians badgeCorinthians

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.3%
Market said
62.5%
Edge
+15.8 pts
Best odds
1.60

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60

High confidenceEdge +15.8%
Our model78.3%
The market62.5%

The market underrated this by 15.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Mirassol badge

Mirassol

Attack33
Defence50
Form26
Corinthians badge

Corinthians

Attack27
Defence92
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.8%Close
Our model78.3%
The market62.5%
Edge
+15.8
Odds
1.60

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.8%Miss
Our model64.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Mirassol (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Mirassol Win

Correct
Our model45.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.