Serie A badgeSerie A · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Mirassol badgeMirassolvsFlamengo badgeFlamengo

1 - 5
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+9.7 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +9.7%
Our model57.8%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Mirassol badge

Mirassol

Attack47
Defence57
Form53
Flamengo badge

Flamengo

Attack72
Defence69
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model72.1%
The market76.9%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.7%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market48.1%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Flamengo (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model53.2%
The market51.7%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Flamengo Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
-12.3
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.06

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

11.4%

0-2

7.4%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.