Serie A badgeSerie A · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Mirassol badgeMirassolvsFluminense badgeFluminense

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.1%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+4.8 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +4.8%
Our model56.1%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Mirassol badge

Mirassol

Attack43
Defence55
Form44
Fluminense badge

Fluminense

Attack48
Defence55
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Miss
Our model56.1%
The market51.3%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Mirassol (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Mirassol Win

Edge +10.2%Correct
Our model47.2%
The market37.0%
Edge
+10.2
Odds
2.70

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.13

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.6%

1-0

11.8% · actual

1-1

10.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.