Serie A badgeSerie A · 17 July 2026AI PICK

Mirassol badgeMirassolvsGremio badgeGremio

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
45.6%
Edge
+10.2 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +10.2%
Our model55.8%
The market45.6%

The market underrated this by 10.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Mirassol badge

Mirassol

Attack43
Defence62
Form51
Gremio badge

Gremio

Attack60
Defence76
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +18.6%Miss
Our model74.2%
The market55.6%
Edge
+18.6
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Gremio (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.2%Correct
Our model55.8%
The market45.6%
Edge
+10.2
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model55.3%
The market50.9%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Gremio Win

Edge +16.8%Miss
Our model41.8%
The market25.0%
Edge
+16.8
Odds
4.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.4%

1-1

13.2%

0-1

8.2%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.