Serie A · 30 August 2026AI PICK

MirassolvsPalmeiras

1 - 1

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 61.3%
Market said: 47.5%
Edge: +13.8 pts
Best odds: 2.04

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.04

MediumEdge +13.8%

Our model61.3%

The market47.5%

The market underrated this by 13.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Mirassol

Attack39

Defence43

Form38

Palmeiras

Attack80

Defence70

Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +1.2%Correct

Our model79.3%

The market78.1%

Edge: +1.2
Odds: 1.28

Draw No Bet

Palmeiras (DNB)

Edge +7.3%Void

Our model71.4%

The market64.1%

Edge: +7.3
Odds: 1.56

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.8%Close

Our model61.3%

The market47.5%

Edge: +13.8
Odds: 2.04

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.6%Correct

Our model54.0%

The market53.4%

Edge: +0.6
Odds: 1.79

Match Winner

Palmeiras Win

Edge +4.0%Miss

Our model51.6%

The market47.6%

Edge: +4.0
Odds: 2.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model9.9%

The market11.4%

Edge: -1.5
Odds: 8.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.9%

1-1

10.7% · actual

0-2

9.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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