Serie D badgeSerie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Mixto badgeMixtovsCEOV Operário badgeCEOV Operário

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.1%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+4.7 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +4.7%
Our model70.1%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Mixto badge

Mixto

Attack30
Defence61
Form33
CEOV Operário badge

CEOV Operário

Attack41
Defence43
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model70.1%
The market65.4%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model64.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

Mixto Win

Miss
Our model51.8%
The market60.6%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

Mixto (DNB)

Void
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model20.1%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

20.1%

0-0

18.3%

1-0

16.0%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.