Premier League badgePremier League · 23 August 2026AI PICK

ML Vitebsk badgeML VitebskvsBate Borisov badgeBate Borisov

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
52.8%
Edge
+6.6 pts
Best odds
1.82

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.82

MediumEdge +6.6%
Our model59.4%
The market52.8%

The market underrated this by 6.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

ML Vitebsk badge

ML Vitebsk

Attack69
Defence49
Form59
Bate Borisov badge

Bate Borisov

Attack46
Defence39
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model77.2%
The market89.3%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

ML Vitebsk (DNB)

Void
Our model68.7%
The market88.5%
Edge
-19.8
Odds
1.13

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.6%Miss
Our model59.4%
The market52.8%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
1.82

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market54.9%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

ML Vitebsk Win

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market57.5%
Edge
-7.5
Odds
1.74

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

11.1%

2-0

8.2%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.