Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 11 May 2026AI PICK

Molinos El Pirata badgeMolinos El PiratavsAcademia Cantolao badgeAcademia Cantolao

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.2%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+19.2 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +19.2%
Our model69.2%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 19.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Molinos El Pirata badge

Molinos El Pirata

Attack73
Defence68
Form67
Academia Cantolao badge

Academia Cantolao

Attack80
Defence44
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.2%Correct
Our model69.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+19.2
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.5%Correct
Our model66.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Molinos El Pirata Win

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model51.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Molinos El Pirata (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.0%
The market6.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.0%

2-1

8.0% · actual

1-1

7.5%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.