Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 20 July 2026AI PICK

Molinos El Pirata badgeMolinos El PiratavsU. San Martin badgeU. San Martin

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+3.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +3.6%
Our model57.7%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Molinos El Pirata badge

Molinos El Pirata

Attack77
Defence40
Form53
U. San Martin badge

U. San Martin

Attack75
Defence36
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model57.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Molinos El Pirata (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.6%Correct
Our model55.4%
The market48.8%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
2.05

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market80.0%
Edge
-28.3
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Molinos El Pirata Win

Correct
Our model42.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.01

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

10.9%

1-2

7.7%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.