Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 17 August 2026AI PICK

Molinos El Pirata badgeMolinos El PiratavsUnion Comercio badgeUnion Comercio

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

LowEdge +8.2%
Our model53.7%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Molinos El Pirata badge

Molinos El Pirata

Attack71
Defence39
Form51
Union Comercio badge

Union Comercio

Attack50
Defence100
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model72.1%
The market69.4%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Molinos El Pirata (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Molinos El Pirata Win

Edge +6.8%Miss
Our model43.8%
The market37.0%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
2.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.7%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7%

1-1

12.2%

2-0

8.1%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.