Molinos El Piratavs
Union Comercio
1 - 2Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 45.5%
- Edge
- +8.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Molinos El Pirata
Union Comercio
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 1.44
Draw No Bet
Molinos El Pirata (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.2
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Molinos El Pirata Win
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 2.70
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.96
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
8.1%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.