Ligue 1 badgeLigue 1 · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Monaco badgeMonacovsLille badgeLille

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.4%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+1.7 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +1.7%
Our model63.4%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 1.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Monaco badge

Monaco

Attack68
Defence46
Form62
Lille badge

Lille

Attack43
Defence100
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market61.7%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model62.0%
The market65.4%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Monaco (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Monaco Win

Miss
Our model49.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.8%
The market8.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-0

9.1%

2-0

8.1%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.