Segunda División · 22 May 2026AI PICK
Monagas IIvs
Atletico Avila FC
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 68.9%
- Market said
- 62.5%
- Edge
- +6.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.60
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60
The market underrated this by 6.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Monagas II
Atletico Avila FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.4
- Odds
- 1.60
Match Winner
Monagas II Win
- Edge
- +11.2
- Odds
- 1.90
Draw No Bet
Monagas II (DNB)
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -11.6
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 5.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
20.7%
2-0
13.3% · actual
0-0
11.8%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.