Primera División · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Monagas SCvsDeportivo La Guaira

1 - 2

Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 53.8%
Market said: 43.5%
Edge: +10.3 pts
Best odds: 2.30

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30

LowEdge +10.3%

Our model53.8%

The market43.5%

The market underrated this by 10.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Monagas SC

Attack72

Defence62

Form52

Deportivo La Guaira

Attack40

Defence47

Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +13.1%Miss

Our model74.8%

The market61.7%

Edge: +13.1
Odds: 1.62

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.3%Correct

Our model53.8%

The market43.5%

Edge: +10.3
Odds: 2.30

Draw No Bet

Monagas SC (DNB)

Miss

Our model53.3%

The market57.1%

Edge: -3.8
Odds: 1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.1%Correct

Our model53.1%

The market50.0%

Edge: +3.1
Odds: 2.00

Match Winner

Monagas SC Win

Edge +20.1%Miss

Our model49.5%

The market29.4%

Edge: +20.1
Odds: 3.40

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss

Our model10.0%

The market11.5%

Edge: -1.5
Odds: 8.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

10.0%

1-1

11.3%

2-1

10.0%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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