Primera División badgePrimera División · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Monagas SC badgeMonagas SCvsMetropolitanos FC badgeMetropolitanos FC

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
53.0%
Edge
+1.6 pts
Best odds
1.82

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.82

LowEdge +1.6%
Our model54.6%
The market53.0%

The market underrated this by 1.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Monagas SC badge

Monagas SC

Attack57
Defence50
Form40
Metropolitanos FC badge

Metropolitanos FC

Attack50
Defence69
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model70.8%
The market71.4%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Monagas SC (DNB)

Edge +10.4%Miss
Our model59.9%
The market49.5%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
2.02

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market53.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.82

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.7%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market45.9%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Monagas SC Win

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model43.6%
The market38.6%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.59

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.2%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-1

13.0%

1-2

7.5%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.