Primera División badgePrimera División · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Monagas SC badgeMonagas SCvsPortuguesa FC badgePortuguesa FC

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
49.5%
Edge
+4.2 pts
Best odds
2.02

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.02

LowEdge +4.2%
Our model53.7%
The market49.5%

The market underrated this by 4.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Monagas SC badge

Monagas SC

Attack60
Defence44
Form41
Portuguesa FC badge

Portuguesa FC

Attack56
Defence63
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model69.2%
The market78.7%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
1.27

Draw No Bet

Monagas SC (DNB)

Void
Our model57.8%
The market59.9%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.2%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market49.5%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
2.02

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market54.9%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

Monagas SC Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market45.0%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
2.22

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

12.1%

1-2

7.5%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.