Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Monarcas badgeMonarcasvsCancún badgeCancún

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+4.8 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Monarcas Win

Match Winner · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +4.8%
Our model57.4%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Monarcas badge

Monarcas

Attack67
Defence37
Form33
Cancún badge

Cancún

Attack19
Defence29
Form25

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market80.0%
Edge
-6.5
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Monarcas (DNB)

Edge +11.9%Correct
Our model69.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Monarcas Win

Edge +4.8%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.3%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market52.3%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market56.3%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model16.4%
The market18.9%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

16.4%

1-0

16.2%

3-0

10.4%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.