First League badgeFirst League · 18 May 2026AI PICK

Montana badgeMontanavsSpartak Varna badgeSpartak Varna

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.7%
Market said
58.1%
Edge
+10.6 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +10.6%
Our model68.7%
The market58.1%

The market underrated this by 10.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Montana badge

Montana

Attack20
Defence51
Form18
Spartak Varna badge

Spartak Varna

Attack35
Defence34
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.6%Correct
Our model68.7%
The market58.1%
Edge
+10.6
Odds
1.72

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.4%Correct
Our model65.9%
The market64.5%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.55

Match Winner

Spartak Varna Win

Edge +16.9%Correct
Our model48.8%
The market31.9%
Edge
+16.9
Odds
3.13

Draw No Bet

Spartak Varna (DNB)

Correct
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Edge +3.3%Miss
Our model25.6%
The market22.3%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
4.49

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

25.6%

0-1

23.4%

1-0

15.3%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.