J2 League badgeJ2 League · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Montedio Yamagata badgeMontedio YamagatavsTochigi City badgeTochigi City

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+3.2 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

LowEdge +3.2%
Our model54.5%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 3.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

Tochigi City (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.2%Close
Our model54.5%
The market51.3%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.73

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model53.6%
The market71.4%
Edge
-17.8
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Tochigi City Win

Miss
Our model31.6%
The market36.4%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
2.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

2-1

7.7%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.