USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Monterey Bay badgeMonterey BayvsFC Tulsa badgeFC Tulsa

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+17.5 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

High confidenceEdge +17.5%
Our model73.1%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 17.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Monterey Bay badge

Monterey Bay

Attack14
Defence40
Form10
FC Tulsa badge

FC Tulsa

Attack42
Defence64
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.5%Close
Our model73.1%
The market55.6%
Edge
+17.5
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

FC Tulsa (DNB)

Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model39.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
-16.0
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

FC Tulsa Win

Our model34.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
-15.3
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.