USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Monterey Bay badgeMonterey BayvsOrange County SC badgeOrange County SC

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
55.3%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model61.2%
The market55.3%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Monterey Bay badge

Monterey Bay

Attack55
Defence35
Form33
Orange County SC badge

Orange County SC

Attack57
Defence44
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market55.3%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.8%Correct
Our model58.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Monterey Bay (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Monterey Bay Win

Miss
Our model42.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.8%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

1-1

11.4%

1-2

8.1% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.