USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Monterey Bay badgeMonterey BayvsSacramento Republic badgeSacramento Republic

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
53.6%
Edge
+0.4 pts
Best odds
1.79

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.79

LowEdge +0.4%
Our model54.0%
The market53.6%

The market underrated this by 0.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Monterey Bay badge

Monterey Bay

Attack53
Defence38
Form33
Sacramento Republic badge

Sacramento Republic

Attack45
Defence73
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model80.1%
The market81.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
1.23

Draw No Bet

Sacramento Republic (DNB)

Void
Our model61.0%
The market65.4%
Edge
-4.4
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.4%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market53.6%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.79

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.7%Close
Our model53.8%
The market49.1%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Sacramento Republic Win

Miss
Our model48.9%
The market52.9%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
1.89

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.