USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 11 June 2026AI PICK

Monterey Bay badgeMonterey BayvsSporting JAX badgeSporting JAX

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.2%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+10.1 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Monterey Bay Win

Match Winner · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +10.1%
Our model64.2%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 10.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Monterey Bay badge

Monterey Bay

Attack43
Defence36
Form22
Sporting JAX badge

Sporting JAX

Attack37
Defence33
Form14

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.6%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.21

Match Winner

Monterey Bay Win

Edge +10.1%Correct
Our model64.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.7%Close
Our model59.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Monterey Bay (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.9%
Our model51.1%
The market47.2%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
2.12

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.0%
The market13.0%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.0%

0-1

12.0%

1-1

11.1%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.