Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 22 April 2026AI PICK

Monterrey badgeMonterreyvsPuebla badgePuebla

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.1%
Market said
42.6%
Edge
+14.5 pts
Best odds
2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35

MediumEdge +14.5%
Our model57.1%
The market42.6%

The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Monterrey badge

Monterrey

Attack53
Defence50
Form33
Puebla badge

Puebla

Attack33
Defence55
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

Monterrey (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.5%Close
Our model57.1%
The market42.6%
Edge
+14.5
Odds
2.35

Match Winner

Monterrey Win

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model51.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model49.1%
The market59.9%
Edge
-10.8
Odds
1.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.