Serie D - Girone E badgeSerie D - Girone E · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Montevarchi Calcio badgeMontevarchi CalciovsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano badgeGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+12.4 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +12.4%
Our model65.0%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 12.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Montevarchi Calcio badge

Montevarchi Calcio

Attack33
Defence100
Form49
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano badge

Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano

Attack59
Defence38
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.4%Correct
Our model65.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model45.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
-8.4
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano (DNB)

Miss
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano Win

Miss
Our model42.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.