Moreirensevs
AVS
0 - 0Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.5%
- Market said
- 51.5%
- Edge
- +10.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.94
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.94
The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Moreirense
AVS
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.7
- Odds
- 1.31
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +10.0
- Odds
- 1.94
Draw No Bet
Moreirense (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Moreirense Win
- Edge
- -15.4
- Odds
- 1.73
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
16.9%
1-0
16.9%
0-0
14.5% · actual
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.