Moreirensevs
Benfica
0 - 4Correct
Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 62.1%
- Markets called
- 4 of 5 right
- Final score
- 0 - 4
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.42
MediumEdge -5.5%
Our model62.1%
The market67.6%
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Moreirense
Attack49
Defence39
Form33
Benfica
Attack100
Defence75
Form74
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
Correct
Our model81.1%
The market99.0%
- Edge
- -17.9
- Odds
- 1.01
Draw No Bet
Benfica (DNB)
Correct
Our model76.3%
The market94.3%
- Edge
- -18.0
- Odds
- 1.06
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model62.1%
The market67.6%
- Edge
- -5.5
- Odds
- 1.42
Match Winner
Benfica Win
Correct
Our model60.9%
The market87.0%
- Edge
- -26.1
- Odds
- 1.15
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +13.7%Miss
Our model58.1%
The market44.4%
- Edge
- +13.7
- Odds
- 2.13
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.