Moreirensevs
SC Braga
2 - 2Correct
Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.7%
- Market said
- 49.5%
- Edge
- +11.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
MediumEdge +11.2%
Our model60.7%
The market49.5%
The market underrated this by 11.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Miss
Our model72.7%
The market78.1%
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +11.2%Correct
Our model60.7%
The market49.5%
- Edge
- +11.2
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
SC Braga (DNB)
Void
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model55.4%
The market51.8%
- Edge
- +3.6
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
SC Braga Win
Miss
Our model43.1%
The market58.8%
- Edge
- -15.7
- Odds
- 1.70
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.